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  • GhostHostJeff
    started a topic News Earthquake [merged]

    Earthquake [merged]

    I'm in Northern California but have a lot of friends down in the So Cal area and I guess there was a 6.9 earthquake centered in Baja California, Mexico about 20 minutes ago. Is anyone in the park that knows what's happening? Any changes to the day?

  • Mr Wiggins
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    ^ Just another aftershock of the 7.2 El Mayor-Cucapah quake on Easter Sunday. There've been a number of them -- 150-200 daily, according to the Southern California Seismic Network.

    Leave a comment:


  • BasilofBakerStreet
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Creepy...as I was just reading this a 5.0 just hit SoCal near Ocotillo.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ckelef1
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by The Forbidden Eye View Post
    Exactly. How can one even predict an earthquake happening?

    Earthquakes can happen now, tomorrow, next week, or even next year.

    The big one that everyones talking about can happen anytime. And most likley will not happen in our lifetime.
    if the big one does happen, i can only hope it happens when im on vacation, or in mexico visiting my family.

    Leave a comment:


  • The Forbidden Eye
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by Ckelef1 View Post
    earthquakes are unpredictable. people need to stop trying.
    Exactly. How can one even predict an earthquake happening?

    Earthquakes can happen now, tomorrow, next week, or even next year.

    The big one that everyones talking about can happen anytime. And most likley will not happen in our lifetime.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ckelef1
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    earthquakes are unpredictable. people need to stop trying.

    Leave a comment:


  • steamboatpete
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    The data my colleague followed is no longer anomalous, other than the continuing earthquake activity near the Mexicali quake area. Luke Thomas is still predicting the big one, though: "6.3 to 7.3 earthquake likely in Southern California. May 7-15 Most likely May 7. Earthquake Prediction California, San Francisco, Los Angeles, recent, earthquake, San Diego, Eureka, Sacramento and Alaska."

    Leave a comment:


  • steamboatpete
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    The data is still anomalous, for what that's worth.

    Leave a comment:


  • disneylandfan95
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Alert: 6.9 earthquake strikes China!!!

    6.9 earthquake strikes China - CNN.com

    Leave a comment:


  • steamboatpete
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    These are not hoaxes, or paranormal predictions. They are studies of details that have shown some correlation in the past to the likelihood of a coming earthquake. It doesn't, however, mean that we know it's going to happen. These guys who are saying "it's going to happen in the next 48 hours" don't know any such thing. Earthquake predicting is a far less developed science than weather predicting, and we can't even do that right. However, when you have certain types of events, like swarms of smaller quakes, elevated gas discharges and such things, it's worth paying attention to.

    I wouldn't hold the kids back from school, though, even in an abundance of caution.

    Leave a comment:


  • plagued
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    those earthquake prediction hoaxes make me laugh.

    Leave a comment:


  • mrfantasmic
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Caltech officials fight Twitter quake rumor | L.A. NOW | Los Angeles Times

    Leave a comment:


  • Hatebreeder
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Except its So Cal, and our world could be shaking at any moment. But i'm rather close to San Bernardino, so I would rather that not be the case.

    Leave a comment:


  • Rex Dopey24
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by steamboatpete View Post
    Apparently, I'm not the only one looking at this data and finding cause for concern:

    Earthquake Forecast (Quakeprediction) on Twitter



    I think these guys, whoever they are, are drawing a conclusion that is a little too certain. But if they turn out to be right, remember, you read it here first.

    On the other hand, they really hedged their bets with this one:

    Earthquake Prediction California, San Francisco, Los Angeles, recent, earthquake, San Diego, Eureka, Sacramento and Alaska.



    If a big quake hits the San Andreas near San Bernardino, then the data we're looking at did indeed portend a major risk of an imminent quake. If it hits Seeley, however, the prediction is meaningless. Seeley is getting rocked by Mexicali aftershocks left and right. If someone "predicts" that Seeley could get a 5.0 in the next 4 days, it's no prediction at all. Those type of quakes are happening already.

    Maps of Recent Earthquake Activity in California-Nevada


    wow talk about parnoid comments lol. seriously, nobody knows when earthquakes hits. human paranoia don't you just love it?

    Leave a comment:


  • WestsideCM99
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Exactly, and the most important prediction (the big one) has geologists so baffled that nowadays they just say that we're overdue and it could happen at any time.

    Leave a comment:


  • Nautilus
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by steamboatpete View Post
    Apparently, I'm not the only one looking at this data and finding cause for concern:

    Earthquake Forecast (Quakeprediction) on Twitter



    I think these guys, whoever they are, are drawing a conclusion that is a little too certain. But if they turn out to be right, remember, you read it here first.

    On the other hand, they really hedged their bets with this one:

    Earthquake Prediction California, San Francisco, Los Angeles, recent, earthquake, San Diego, Eureka, Sacramento and Alaska.



    If a big quake hits the San Andreas near San Bernardino, then the data we're looking at did indeed portend a major risk of an imminent quake. If it hits Seeley, however, the prediction is meaningless. Seeley is getting rocked by Mexicali aftershocks left and right. If someone "predicts" that Seeley could get a 5.0 in the next 4 days, it's no prediction at all. Those type of quakes are happening already.

    Maps of Recent Earthquake Activity in California-Nevada
    I find these "predictions" hard to believe, I don't want to get too freaked out. Hows their track record when came to predicting quakes that did happen? (like the Mexicali one). Still, I'd like "predictions" coming from official sources like USGS.

    Leave a comment:


  • Mac Daddy
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by steamboatpete View Post
    Apparently, I'm not the only one looking at this data and finding cause for concern:

    Earthquake Forecast (Quakeprediction) on Twitter



    I think these guys, whoever they are, are drawing a conclusion that is a little too certain. But if they turn out to be right, remember, you read it here first.

    On the other hand, they really hedged their bets with this one:

    Earthquake Prediction California, San Francisco, Los Angeles, recent, earthquake, San Diego, Eureka, Sacramento and Alaska.



    If a big quake hits the San Andreas near San Bernardino, then the data we're looking at did indeed portend a major risk of an imminent quake. If it hits Seeley, however, the prediction is meaningless. Seeley is getting rocked by Mexicali aftershocks left and right. If someone "predicts" that Seeley could get a 5.0 in the next 4 days, it's no prediction at all. Those type of quakes are happening already.

    Maps of Recent Earthquake Activity in California-Nevada

    Quite a few folks were talking about this yesterday. I wonder what they mean by "hot" around the San Bernadino area. Does this mean sudden activity and lots of it? So far, I think I only remember one earthquake prediction that panned out recently, and that was somewhere in Europe...maybe it was Italy. A landslide occurred, buildings collapsed, and dozens of people were killed. Some geologist stepped forward afterwards and mentioned that he had warned folks in advance that a quake was imminent. If this prediction actually comes true, maybe we'll really be on to an early warning system in the future.

    In the mean time, thanks for the heads up, Steamboatpete.

    Leave a comment:


  • steamboatpete
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Apparently, I'm not the only one looking at this data and finding cause for concern:

    Earthquake Forecast (Quakeprediction) on Twitter

    24 to 48 hour WARNING; 5.0 to 6.5 earthquake likely April 12-15 in Southern California (More likely 12-14) (Most likely 12-13) about 11 hours ago via web
    I think these guys, whoever they are, are drawing a conclusion that is a little too certain. But if they turn out to be right, remember, you read it here first.

    On the other hand, they really hedged their bets with this one:

    Earthquake Prediction California, San Francisco, Los Angeles, recent, earthquake, San Diego, Eureka, Sacramento and Alaska.

    Highest risk is from Frazier Park to San Bernardino & Seeley
    If a big quake hits the San Andreas near San Bernardino, then the data we're looking at did indeed portend a major risk of an imminent quake. If it hits Seeley, however, the prediction is meaningless. Seeley is getting rocked by Mexicali aftershocks left and right. If someone "predicts" that Seeley could get a 5.0 in the next 4 days, it's no prediction at all. Those type of quakes are happening already.

    Maps of Recent Earthquake Activity in California-Nevada

    Leave a comment:


  • alphabassetgrrl
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    I love watching the USGS site! I check it every single day. I like it when we get lots of little ones, to relieve the stress on the faults harmlessly.

    Leave a comment:


  • M-Theory
    replied
    Re: Earthquake [merged]

    Originally posted by steamboatpete View Post
    Some data I follow is showing some really interesting trends that are indicative of an increased chance of a large quake in SoCal. It could all stem from the after-effects of that Mexicali quake, though. If I lived in San Bernardino, it would make me nervous.
    I've been watching the "trend" too, and it's a bit unnerving. Those USGS shaker maps are fascinating.

    I'm not a geologist, but I have studied geology with a professor that worked at the USGS. Very interesting stuff.

    What really worries me is that when the San Andreas finally snaps, it will shake the Newport-Inglewood loose too. Both are overdue, and have been described as "10 months pregnant".

    Of course, there is no hard evidence of these quakes actually happening in our lifetime, but they are going to happen sometime. It could be in 5 minutes, or 50 years away.

    Leave a comment:

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